Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Notts County
25.7%
Draw
26.1%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Notts County
vs
0.97
Walsall
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).