Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.4%
Aris
12.7%
Draw
8.9%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
2.83
Aris
vs
0.86
Nice
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.571.3%
Over 3.550.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
4-0
6.7%
4-1
5.7%
1-1
5.7%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.5%
5-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).