Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Belenenses
30.0%
Draw
27.6%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Belenenses
vs
0.82
Boavista
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.556.7%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.6%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.9%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).