Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Barnsley
21.8%
Draw
40.2%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Barnsley
vs
1.61
Stockport
Markets
BTTS62.2%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).