Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Morton
30.9%
Draw
37.9%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Morton
vs
1.32
Ayr
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).