Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Northampton
29.9%
Draw
30.7%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Northampton
vs
0.90
Bradford
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).