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23 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.4%
Peterhead
15.9%
Draw
77.7%
Dunfermline

Expected Goals (xG)

0.56

Peterhead

vs
2.39

Dunfermline

Markets

BTTS39.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.0%
0-1
12.0%
0-3
11.9%
1-2
8.4%
1-1
7.5%
0-4
7.1%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
5.7%
1-4
4.0%
0-5
3.4%
1-0
2.5%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).