Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Malaga
28.6%
Draw
35.3%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Malaga
vs
1.11
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).