Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Sudtirol
31.7%
Draw
25.8%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Sudtirol
vs
0.90
Reggina
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).