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17 May 2026 · 00:00

Zenit

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.9%
Rostov
33.2%
Draw
50.9%
Zenit

Expected Goals (xG)

0.57

Rostov

vs
1.22

Zenit

Markets

BTTS31.9%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.554.7%
Over 2.526.6%
Over 3.510.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
19.0%
0-0
18.1%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
12.5%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
2-2
2.0%
0-4
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).