Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
Notts County
20.3%
Draw
13.8%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Notts County
vs
0.72
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).