Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Brest
23.5%
Draw
29.2%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Brest
vs
1.26
Nice
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).