Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
Brest
17.1%
Draw
17.0%
Saint-Étienne
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Brest
vs
1.17
Saint-Étienne
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.570.3%
Over 3.549.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
4-1
4.7%
3-2
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).