Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Almeria
20.1%
Draw
22.9%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Almeria
vs
1.35
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS65.7%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-0
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
4.6%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).