Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Logrones
30.7%
Draw
25.5%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Logrones
vs
0.79
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).