Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.4%
Estrela
18.9%
Draw
69.7%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Estrela
vs
2.32
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
1-1
8.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
7.4%
0-4
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
2-1
3.5%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).