Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
St Pauli
21.3%
Draw
16.9%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
St Pauli
vs
1.10
Dresden
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.0%
3-2
4.0%
4-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).