Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Granada
23.6%
Draw
43.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Granada
vs
1.73
Almeria
Markets
BTTS64.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).