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AHT: 12CSV

03 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Alloa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.1%
Annan Athletic
24.4%
Draw
53.6%
Alloa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Annan Athletic

vs
1.82

Alloa

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
8.9%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-3
3.3%
2-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).