Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →2.9%
Chornomorets
9.6%
Draw
87.5%
Shakhtar Donetsk
Expected Goals (xG)
0.40
Chornomorets
vs
2.91
Shakhtar Donetsk
Markets
BTTS31.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.4%
0-3
14.9%
0-4
10.9%
0-1
10.5%
0-5
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
1-1
4.4%
1-4
4.4%
0-0
3.8%
1-5
2.6%
1-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).