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24 May 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.9%
Raków Częstochowa
27.3%
Draw
17.9%
Widzew Lodz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Raków Częstochowa

vs
0.80

Widzew Lodz

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).