Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Granada
29.6%
Draw
40.1%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Granada
vs
1.19
Alaves
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
13.1%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).