Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Sunderland
32.9%
Draw
25.7%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Sunderland
vs
0.91
West Ham
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).