Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Ath Bilbao
26.2%
Draw
13.3%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.56
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS33.4%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.9%
2-0
14.5%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
6.8%
3-1
4.0%
1-2
3.0%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).