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DHT: 10CSV

20 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.7%
Caen
20.1%
Draw
63.2%
Dunkerque

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Caen

vs
1.89

Dunkerque

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).