Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Boulogne
24.4%
Draw
46.3%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Boulogne
vs
1.43
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).