Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Plymouth
33.1%
Draw
37.6%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Plymouth
vs
0.92
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS31.6%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.549.6%
Over 2.523.8%
Over 3.59.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.1%
0-1
17.5%
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
6.0%
2-0
5.5%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
3-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).