Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.1%
Coventry
16.3%
Draw
8.6%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Coventry
vs
0.78
Reading
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.7%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
5-0
3.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).