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24 Feb 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.5%
Eastleigh
26.2%
Draw
51.3%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Eastleigh

vs
1.67

Bromley

Markets

BTTS53.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).