Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.5%
Toulouse
14.3%
Draw
7.2%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Toulouse
vs
0.51
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.9%
1-0
14.4%
3-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.0%
1-1
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).