Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.4%
Besiktas
18.8%
Draw
6.8%
Fatih Karagümrük
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Besiktas
vs
0.71
Fatih Karagümrük
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
3-0
10.5%
1-1
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).