Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Birmingham
15.2%
Draw
8.5%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Birmingham
vs
0.57
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.2%
1-0
14.2%
3-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
6.3%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-0
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).