Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.1%
Valladolid
26.2%
Draw
42.7%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Valladolid
vs
1.40
Granada
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).