Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Mantova
27.8%
Draw
25.2%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Mantova
vs
1.07
Avellino
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).