Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.3%
Lecco
25.4%
Draw
60.3%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Lecco
vs
1.73
Modena
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).