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DHT: 00CSV

28 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.5%
Amiens
26.3%
Draw
45.1%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Amiens

vs
1.32

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).