Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Auxerre
27.3%
Draw
21.1%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Auxerre
vs
0.76
Troyes
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).