Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Oldham
28.2%
Draw
33.6%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Oldham
vs
1.04
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).