Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Benevento
30.6%
Draw
28.9%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Benevento
vs
1.04
Spal
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).