Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Rochdale
26.7%
Draw
24.4%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Rochdale
vs
0.81
Wigan
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).