Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Leganes
29.6%
Draw
22.0%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Leganes
vs
0.73
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).