Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
RB Leipzig
22.9%
Draw
33.2%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
RB Leipzig
vs
1.67
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS70.1%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
3-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).