Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Stockport
23.9%
Draw
42.2%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Stockport
vs
1.41
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).