Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Perugia
30.2%
Draw
42.7%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Perugia
vs
1.33
Lecce
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).