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DHT: 01CSV

01 Nov 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.0%
Padova
33.7%
Draw
34.3%
Sudtirol

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Padova

vs
1.01

Sudtirol

Markets

BTTS40.8%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.1%
1-1
14.9%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
12.0%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).