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31 Aug 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.4%
GAIS
26.1%
Draw
20.6%
Häcken

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

GAIS

vs
1.01

Häcken

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).