Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.8%
Portsmouth
9.5%
Draw
3.7%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
Portsmouth
vs
0.39
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS29.9%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.3%
3-0
15.0%
1-0
12.2%
4-0
10.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
5-0
5.7%
1-1
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
0-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).