Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Nice
22.5%
Draw
46.7%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Nice
vs
1.79
Monaco
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.5%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).