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DHT: 00CSV

28 Apr 2018

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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88.3%
Wrexham
8.7%
Draw
3.1%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

3.37

Wrexham

vs
0.59

Fylde

Markets

BTTS43.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.575.6%
Over 3.555.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
12.2%
2-0
10.8%
4-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
5-0
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
4-1
6.0%
1-1
4.1%
5-1
4.1%
0-0
2.2%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).