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DHT: 10CSV

07 Nov 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.1%
Dender
25.4%
Draw
45.5%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Dender

vs
1.66

Waregem

Markets

BTTS59.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).